Kini, Iran Ibarat Uni Sovyet Menjelang Keruntuhannya
Monday, January 8, 2018
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Kini, Iran Ibarat Uni Sovyet Menjelang Keruntuhannya
Opini Bangsa - SAAT ini Iran ibarat Uni Soviet di hari-hari terakhirnya; “Sebuah rezim ideologis yang runtuh.” Bedanya, para pemrotes Iran cenderung menentang para Mullah (pemimpin tertinggi Iran) sedangkan orang-orang Rusia di zaman Uni Sovyet melawan komunis.
“Para pemrotes Iran juga lebih berani bertindak daripada orang-orang Rusia. Pemrotes Iran siap menanggung segala kerugian rakyat. Mereka berharap bisa menggulingkan rezim Iran,” kata politisi, rabi, sejarawan dan ilmuwan politik Israel, Avraam Shmulevich.
Dalam sebuah artikel di portal After Empire dan dalam sebuah wawancara dengan Radio Liberty, Kepala Institut Kemitraan Timur Israel berpendapat bahwa jika demonstrasi baru-baru ini di Iran bergerak untuk sementara waktu (afterempire.info/2018/ 01/04 / night-revolution / dan svoboda.org/a/28956976.html).
Rezim otoriter “tidak jatuh sendiri,” dan mereka tidak jatuh saat mereka pertama kali menghadapi oposisi publik. Sebaliknya, mereka runtuh saat gelombang demi gelombang protes muncul dan saat lawan mereka menjadi lebih radikal dalam kritik dan tuntutan mereka.
“Keadaan Kekaisaran Rusia dan Uni Soviet pada zaman dulu, kini berlaku bagi Iran. Jika di tahun 2009, pemrotes Iran menuntut pemilu yang jujur; Sekarang, tidak ada yang berbicara soal pemilu. Hari ini slogan utama aksi protes adalah kematian: ‘Kematian Khomeini,’ ‘Kematian Revolusi Islam!’ dan seterusnya,” ungkap Shmulevich seperti dikutip windowoneurasia2.
Seperti prekursor Rusia dan Soviet mereka, orang-orang Iran melihat bahwa rezim yang berkuasa atas mereka telah menindas orang-orang biasa sambil membiarkan “pemuda keemasan menginginkan apa yang mereka inginkan.” Mereka melihat korupsi di sekitar mereka, dengan para penguasa memperkaya diri mereka sendiri sementara orang-orang menderita hidup serba kesulitan.
Semua ini, lanjutnya, sangat mirip dengan apa yang terjadi di Uni Soviet pada 1980-an.
Tapi ada beberapa perbedaan besar, kata Shmulyevich; dan mereka yang pantas untuk diperhatikan karena mereka menunjukkan bahwa orang-orang Iran di jalanan lebih marah dan lebih berkomitmen terhadap perubahan nyata daripada para pendukung perestroika pada akhir masa Soviet.
“Di Iran, ada permintaan nyata akan demokrasi. Orang-orang yang sekarang pergi ke jalanan kota-kota Iran benar-benar menginginkan kebebasan dan sangat menginginkan terbentuknya masyarakat demokratis yang normal. Di Rusia, tidak ada permintaan seperti itu,” ujar Shmulevich.
Orang-orang Iran yang memprotes sekarang berbicara “Tepatnya tentang penghancuran total sistem yang ada. Salah satu slogan [mereka berbaris di bawah pegangan] ‘kita salah saat kita membuat Revolusi Islam.’ Pertobatan dan pengakuan atas kesalahan mereka sendiri dan bahwa hal itu perlu dilakukan dengan cara lain tidak ada di Rusia sekarang dan tidak melakukannya. awal 1990-an.
Apa yang terjadi di Iran sekarang adalah perubahan yang sangat populer. Tidak ada kekuatan dari luar yang bisa menghasilkan ratusan ribu orang untuk pergi ke jalanan, meskipun rezim Iran saat ini seperti semua pihak otoriter di tempat lain “menuduh kekuatan eksternal” untuk mencoba memobilisasi perasaan patriotik atas namanya.
Cara lain Iran sama-sama mirip dan berbeda dengan ‘almarhum’ Uni Soviet adalah bahwa di Iran saat ini ada “konflik etnis yang cukup kuat” dan adanya “setidaknya tiga gerakan pembebasan nasional – orang Kurdi, Beluchi, dan orang Arab” – Belum lagi orang Azerbaijan.
Dan para demonstran Iran dapat berharap mendapat dukungan banyak orang di dunia luar bukan hanya karena komitmen mereka terhadap demokrasi dan kebebasan, Shmulyevich mengatakan, tetapi juga karena “Di Iran adalah tingkat anti-Semitisme paling rendah di antara populasi di Timur Tengah.” [opini-bangsa.com / ipc]
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